🐺 Valspar Playbook.
Innisbrook — Copperhead Course. 133-player field. Tightest fairways on Tour. The shade is where the edge hides.
Tuesday
Recon
Pull field, DG model, scan Kalshi. Build the slate.
Wednesday
First Tranche
Pre-tournament bets. ≥1.5x edge. Max 40% bankroll.
Thursday R1
Wolf Hour
R1 complete. DG in-play. Kalshi repricing.
🐺 4-7PM MT
Friday R2
Cut Day
Post-cut repricing. 2-4hr window.
Saturday R3
Moving Day
Position mgmt. Add winners. Short faders.
Sunday R4
Wolf Hour Live
Back 9 Sunday. Edges decay in minutes.
🐺 12-4PM MT
Season
Wk 5
All-Time Golf
+61% ROI
Win Rate
22%
Tournaments
4
Best Edge Type
TOP10 YES
This Week's Read
SHORTS 🩳
🐺 The Rules
Conviction Stack≥1.5x DG/Kalshi + positive SG + course fit + current form = SIZE IT
Sizing
≥2.0x = $6-8 · 1.5-2.0x = $4-5 · <1.3x = SKIPSG FilterPositive strokes gained = skill. Negative = luck. No exceptions.
This WeekDG below books across the board. SHORTS on overpriced names. Koepka/JT/Spieth = narrative premiums.
The FalsettoStrip to essentials. Find the one player the model loves that nobody's talking about.
Minimum$2/bet. If not worth $2, not worth tracking. No penny spray.
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| Player ↕ | DG Model ↕ | DK Books ↕ | Edge ↕ | Signal ↕ | Tags |
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